|
November
15, 2005
Setting
the Record Straight: The New York Times Editorial on Pre-War Intelligence
The
New York Times Editorial Says Foreign Intelligence Services Did Not Support
American Intelligence. "Foreign intelligence services did not have full
access to American intelligence. But some had dissenting opinions that
were ignored or not shown to top American officials." (Editorial, "Decoding
Mr. Bush's Denials," The New York Times, 11/15/05)
But
Even Foreign Governments That Opposed The Removal Of Saddam Hussein Judged
That Iraq Had Weapons Of Mass Destruction (WMD).
French
Foreign Minister Dominique De Villepin: "Right Now, Our Attention Has To
Be Focused As A Priority On The Biological And Chemical Domains. It Is
There That Our Presumptions About Iraq Are The Most Significant. Regarding
The Chemical Domain, We Have Evidence Of Its Capacity To Produce VX And
Yperite. In The Biological Domain, The Evidence Suggests The Possible Possession
Of Significant Stocks Of Anthrax And Botulism Toxin, And Possibly A Production
Capability." (United Nations Security Council, 4701st Meeting, New York,
2/5/03)
German
Ambassador To The United States Wolfgang Ischinger: "I Think All Of Our
Governments Believe That Iraq Has Produced Weapons Of Mass Destruction
And That We Have To Assume That They Still Have That They Continue To Have
Weapons Of Mass Destruction. We Have Not Yet Seen Evidence Produced By
The Inspectors." (NBC's "Today," 2/26/03)
The
New York Times Editorial Implies That Congress Was Presented With Incomplete
And Manipulated Intelligence. "Congress had nothing close to the president's
access to intelligence. The National Intelligence Estimate presented to
Congress a few days before the vote on war was sanitized to remove dissent
and make conjecture seem like fact." (Editorial, "Decoding Mr. Bush's Denials,"
The New York Times, 11/15/05)
But
The Presidential Daily Brief (PDB) Was Judged Not To Have Different Intelligence
Than The National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) Provided To Congress, Which
Represented The Collective Opinion Of The Intelligence Community.
Then-CIA
Director George Tenet Said The NIE Summarized The Intelligence Community's
Assessment Of Iraq's WMD Programs. TENET: "Let's turn to Iraq. Much of
the current controversy centers on our prewar intelligence, summarized
in the national intelligence estimate of October of 2002. National estimates
are publications where the intelligence community as a whole seeks to sum
up what we know about a subject, what we don't know, what we suspect may
be happening and where we differ on key issues. This estimate asked if
Iraq had chemical, biological and nuclear weapons and the means to deliver
them. We concluded that in some of these categories Iraq had weapons, and
that in others where it did not have them, it was trying to develop them.
Let me be clear: Analysts differed on several important aspects of these
programs and those debates were spelled out in the estimate. They never
said there was an imminent threat. Rather, they painted an objective assessment
for our policy-makers of a brutal dictator who was continuing his efforts
to deceive and build programs that might constantly surprise us and threaten
our interests. No one told us what to say or how to say it." (CIA Director
George Tenet, Remarks On Intelligence-Gathering And Iraq's WMD Programs,
Washington, D.C., 2/5/04)
The
Robb-Silberman Commission Reported That The Intelligence In The PDB Was
Not "Markedly Different" Than The Intelligence Given To Congress In The
NIE. "It was not that the intelligence was markedly different. Rather,
it was that the PDBs and SEIBs, with their attention-grabbing headlines
and drumbeat of repetition, left an impression of many corroborating reports
where in fact there were very few sources. And in other instances, intelligence
suggesting the existence of weapons programs was conveyed to senior policymakers,
but later information casting doubt upon the validity of that intelligence
was not." (Charles S. Robb And Laurence H. Silberman, The Commission On
The Intelligence Capabilities Of The United States Regarding Weapons Of
Mass Destruction, 3/31/05, p. 14)
The
Robb-Silberman Commission Found The PDB To Contain Similar Intelligence
In "More Alarmist" And "Less Nuanced" Language. "As problematic as the
October 2002 NIE was, it was not the Community's biggest analytic failure
on Iraq. Even more misleading was the river of intelligence that flowed
from the CIA to top policymakers over long periods of time in the President's
Daily Brief (PDB) and in its more widely distributed companion, the Senior
Executive Intelligence Brief (SEIB). These daily reports were, if anything,
more alarmist and less nuanced than the NIE." (Charles S. Robb And Laurence
H. Silberman, The Commission On The Intelligence Capabilities Of The United
States Regarding Weapons Of Mass Destruction, 3/31/05, p. 14)
The
New York Times Editorial Implies That UN Sanctions Were Preventing Saddam
Hussein From Pursuing WMD. "It's hard to imagine what Mr. Bush means when
he says everyone reached the same conclusion. There was indeed a widespread
belief that Iraq had chemical and biological weapons. But Mr. Clinton looked
at the data and concluded that inspections and pressure were working a
view we now know was accurate." (Editorial, "Decoding Mr. Bush's Denials,"
The New York Times, 11/15/05)
But
Former President Bill Clinton Warned After 9/11 That The United States
Could Not Allow Saddam Hussein To Continue Defying Weapons Inspectors.
In
June 2004, Bill Clinton Said President Bush Had The Responsibility To Make
Sure Iraq's Chemical And Biological Weapons Did Not Get In The Hands Of
Terrorists. "After 9/11, let's be fair here, if you had been President,
you'd think, Well, this fellow bin Laden just turned these three airplanes
full of fuel into weapons of mass destruction, right? Arguably they were
super-powerful chemical weapons. Think about it that way. So, you're sitting
there as President, you're reeling in the aftermath of this, so, yeah,
you want to go get bin Laden and do Afghanistan and all that. But you also
have to say, Well, my first responsibility now is to try everything possible
to make sure that this terrorist network and other terrorist networks cannot
reach chemical and biological weapons or small amounts of fissile material.
I've got to do that. That's why I supported the Iraq thing. There was a
lot of stuff unaccounted for. So I thought the President had an absolute
responsibility to go to the U.N. and say, 'Look, guys, after 9/11, you
have got to demand that Saddam Hussein lets us finish the inspection process.'
When you're the President, and your country has just been through what
we had, you want everything to be accounted for." (Bill Clinton, "His Side
of The Story," Time, 6/28/04)
The
Duelfer Report Concluded That Saddam Hussein Sought To "Reconstitute His
Weapons Of Mass Destruction (WMD) When Sanctions Were Lifted." "Saddam
[Hussein] so dominated the Iraqi regime that its strategic intent was his
alone. He wanted to end sanctions while preserving the capability to reconstitute
his weapons of mass destruction (WMD) when sanctions were lifted." (Comprehensive
Report Of The Special Advisor To The DCI On Iraq's WMD, Key Findings Regime
Strategic Intent, 9/30/04, p. 1)
The
New York Times Editorial Says There Was Little Evidence Suggesting Iraq
Was Pursuing A Nuclear Weapon. "The administration had little company in
saying that Iraq was actively trying to build a nuclear weapon. The evidence
for this claim was a dubious report about an attempt in 1999 to buy uranium
from Niger, later shown to be false, and the infamous aluminum tubes story.
That was dismissed at the time by analysts with real expertise." (Editorial,
"Decoding Mr. Bush's Denials," The New York Times, 11/15/05)
But
The Weapons Inspectors Concluded That Saddam Hussein Sought A Nuclear Capability.
The
Duelfer Report: "Saddam Aspired To Develop A Nuclear Capability." "Saddam
wanted to recreate Iraq's WMD capability which was essentially destroyed
in 1991 after sanctions were removed and Iraq's economy stabilized, but
probably with a different mix of capabilities to that which previously
existed. Saddam aspired to develop a nuclear capability in an incremental
fashion, irrespective of international pressure and the resulting economic
risks but he intended to focus on ballistic missile and tactical chemical
warfare (CW) capabilities." (Comprehensive Report Of The Special Advisor
To The DCI On Iraq's WMD, Key Findings Regime Strategic Intent, 9/30/04,
p. 1)
The
New York Times Editorial Says The Claim That Iraq And Al Qaeda Were In
League Was "Absurd" And Implies That The President Connected Saddam Hussein
To The 9/11 Attacks. "The Bush administration was also alone in making
the absurd claim that Iraq was in league with Al Qaeda and somehow connected
to the 9/11 terrorist attacks. That was based on two false tales. One was
the supposed trip to Prague by Mohamed Atta, a report that was disputed
before the war and came from an unreliable drunk. The other was that Iraq
trained Qaeda members in the use of chemical and biological weapons. Before
the war, the Defense Intelligence Agency concluded that this was a deliberate
fabrication by an informer." (Editorial, "Decoding Mr. Bush's Denials,"
The New York Times, 11/15/05)
But
The President Never Connected Iraq To The 9/11 Attacks While Other Politicians
And Independent Commissions Judged That There Were Contacts Between Iraq,
Al-Qaeda And Other Terrorist Groups.
President
Bush Said There Is "No Evidence That Saddam Hussein Was Involved With"
9/11. PRESIDENT BUSH: "We've had no evidence that Saddam Hussein was involved
with the September 11th." (President Bush, Remarks After Meeting With Members
Of The Congressional Conference Committee On Energy Legislation, Washington,
D.C., 9/17/03)
Condoleezza
Rice Said That Saddam Hussein Never "Had Either Direction Or Control Of
9/11." RICE: "And we have never claimed that Saddam Hussein had either,
that Saddam Hussein had either direction or control of 9/11. What we have
said is that this was someone who supported terrorists, helped train them.
But most importantly, that this is someone who, with his animus towards
the United States, with his penchant for and capability to gain weapons
of mass destruction, and his obvious willingness to use them, was a threat
in this region that we were not prepared to tolerate." (ABC's "Nightline,"
9/16/03)
Sen.
Clinton (D-NY): "[Saddam] Has Also Given Aid, Comfort, And Sanctuary To
Terrorists, Including Al-Qaida Members, Though There Is Apparently No Evidence
Of His Involvement In The Terrible Events Of September 11, 2001. This Much
Is Undisputed." (Sen. Hillary Clinton, Congressional Record, 10/10/02,
p. S10288)
In
1999, The Clinton Administration Issued A Report That Said Iraq Was Supporting
Terrorists. "[T]he Patterns of Global Terrorism report listed Iran, Libya,
Cuba, Iraq, North Korea, Sudan and Syria and exiled Saudi millionaire Osama
bin Laden as terrorist sponsors. The seven countries were on the same list
last year. Secretary of State Dr Madeleine Albright said: 'Governments
on the list that would like to see their names removed know exactly what
they must do: stop planning, financing and supporting terrorist acts and
stop sheltering or interfering with the apprehension and prosecution of
those who commit them.'" ("No Reprieve For Nations Of Terror," The [Perth,
Australia] Sunday Times, 5/2/99)
The
9/11 Commission: "There Is Evidence That Around This Time [1997] Bin Ladin
Sent Out A Number Of Feelers To The Iraqi Regime, Offering Some Cooperation."
("Final Report Of The National Commission On Terrorist Attacks Upon The
United States," The 9/11 Commission Report, 7/22/04)
The
9/11 Commission: "In March 1998, After Bin Ladin's Public Fatwa Against
The United States, Two Al Qaeda Members Reportedly Went To Iraq To Meet
With Iraqi Intelligence." ("Final Report Of The National Commission On
Terrorist Attacks Upon The United States," The 9/11 Commission Report,
7/22/04)
The
New York Times Editorial Implies That There Was Political Pressure To Change
Intelligence. "Richard Kerr, a former deputy director of central intelligence,
said in 2003 that there was 'significant pressure on the intelligence community
to find evidence that supported a connection' between Iraq and Al Qaeda.
The C.I.A. ombudsman told the Senate Intelligence Committee that the administration's
'hammering' on Iraq intelligence was harder than he had seen in his 32
years at the agency." (Editorial, "Decoding Mr. Bush's Denials," The New
York Times, 11/15/05)
But
Congressional And Independent Committees Have Repeatedly Found No Political
Pressure To Change Intelligence.
The
Bipartisan Senate Select Committee On Intelligence Report "Did Not Find
Any Evidence" Of Attempts To Influence Analysts To Change Intelligence.
"Conclusion 83. The Committee did not find any evidence that Administration
officials attempted to coerce, influence or pressure analysts to change
their judgments related to Iraq's weapons of mass destruction capabilities.
Conclusion 84. The Committee found no evidence that the Vice President's
visits to the Central Intelligence Agency were attempts to pressure analysts,
were perceived as intended to pressure analysts by those who participated
in the briefings on Iraq's weapons of mass destruction programs, or did
pressure analysts to change their assessments." ("Report On The U.S. Intelligence
Community's Prewar Intelligence Assessments On Iraq," U.S. Senate Select
Committee On Intelligence, 7/7/04, p. 284-285)
The
Robb-Silberman Commission Found "No Evidence Of Political Pressure." "These
are errors serious errors. But these errors stem from poor tradecraft and
poor management. The Commission found no evidence of political pressure
to influence the Intelligence Community's pre-war assessments of Iraq's
weapons programs. As we discuss in detail in the body of our report, analysts
universally asserted that in no instance did political pressure cause them
to skew or alter any of their analytical judgments. We conclude that it
was the paucity of intelligence and poor analytical tradecraft, rather
than political pressure, that produced the inaccurate pre-war intelligence
assessments." (Charles S. Robb And Laurence H. Silberman, The Commission
On The Intelligence Capabilities Of The United States Regarding Weapons
Of Mass Destruction, 3/31/05, p. 50-51)
The
British Butler Report Found "No Evidence" Of Intelligence Distortion. "In
general, we found that the original intelligence material was correctly
reported in [Joint Intelligence Committee] assessments. An exception was
the '45 minute' report. But this sort of example was rare in the several
hundred JIC assessments we read on Iraq. In general, we also found that
the reliability of the original intelligence reports was fairly represented
by the use of accompanying quali cations. We should record in particular
that we have found no evidence of deliberate distortion or of culpable
negligence. We examined JIC assessments to see whether there was evidence
that the judgements inside them were systematically distorted by non-intelligence
factors, in particular the in uence of the policy positions of departments.
We found no evidence of JIC assessments and the judgements inside them
being pulled in any particular direction to meet the policy concerns of
senior of cials on the JIC." ("Review Of Intelligence On Weapons Of Mass
Destruction," Report Of A Committee Of Privy Counsellors, 7/14/04, p. 110)
END
Image
above
National
World War II Memorial
Memorial
Day weekend, May 29, 2004
******
|