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January
23, 2003
"Why
We Know Iraq is Lying" A Column by Dr. Condoleezza Rice
By
Condoleezza Rice
Originally
appeared in the New York Times on January 23, 2003
WASHINGTON.
Eleven weeks after the United Nations Security Council unanimously passed
a resolution demanding yet again that Iraq disclose and disarm all its
nuclear, chemical and biological weapons programs, it is appropriate to
ask, "Has Saddam Hussein finally decided to voluntarily disarm?" Unfortunately,
the answer is a clear and resounding no.
There
is no mystery to voluntary disarmament. Countries that decide to disarm
lead inspectors to weapons and production sites, answer questions before
they are asked, state publicly and often the intention to disarm and urge
their citizens to cooperate. The world knows from examples set by South
Africa, Ukraine and Kazakhstan what it looks like when a government decides
that it will cooperatively give up its weapons of mass destruction. The
critical common elements of these efforts include a high-level political
commitment to disarm, national initiatives to dismantle weapons programs,
and full cooperation and transparency.
In
1989 South Africa made the strategic decision to dismantle its covert nuclear
weapons program. It destroyed its arsenal of seven weapons and later submitted
to rigorous verification by the International Atomic Energy Agency. Inspectors
were given complete access to all nuclear facilities (operating and defunct)
and the people who worked there. They were also presented with thousands
of documents detailing, for example, the daily operation of uranium enrichment
facilities as well as the construction and dismantling of specific weapons.
Ukraine
and Kazakhstan demonstrated a similar pattern of cooperation when they
decided to rid themselves of the nuclear weapons, intercontinental ballistic
missiles and heavy bombers inherited from the Soviet Union. With significant
assistance from the United States warmly accepted by both countries disarmament
was orderly, open and fast. Nuclear warheads were returned to Russia. Missile
silos and heavy bombers were destroyed or dismantled once in a ceremony
attended by the American and Russian defense chiefs. In one instance, Kazakhstan
revealed the existence of a ton of highly enriched uranium and asked the
United States to remove it, lest it fall into the wrong hands.
Iraq's
behavior could not offer a starker contrast. Instead of a commitment to
disarm, Iraq has a high-level political commitment to maintain and conceal
its weapons, led by Saddam Hussein and his son Qusay, who controls the
Special Security Organization, which runs Iraq's concealment activities.
Instead of implementing national initiatives to disarm, Iraq maintains
institutions whose sole purpose is to thwart the work of the inspectors.
And instead of full cooperation and transparency, Iraq has filed a false
declaration to the United Nations that amounts to a 12,200-page lie.
For
example, the declaration fails to account for or explain Iraq's efforts
to get uranium from abroad, its manufacture of specific fuel for ballistic
missiles it claims not to have, and the gaps previously identified by the
United Nations in Iraq's accounting for more than two tons of the raw materials
needed to produce thousands of gallons of anthrax and other biological
weapons.
Iraq's
declaration even resorted to unabashed plagiarism, with lengthy passages
of United Nations reports copied word-for-word (or edited to remove any
criticism of Iraq) and presented as original text. Far from informing,
the declaration is intended to cloud and confuse the true picture of Iraq's
arsenal. It is a reflection of the regime's well-earned reputation for
dishonesty and constitutes a material breach of United Nations Security
Council Resolution 1441, which set up the current inspections program.
Unlike
other nations that have voluntarily disarmed and in defiance of Resolution
1441 Iraq is not allowing inspectors "immediate, unimpeded, unrestricted
access" to facilities and people involved in its weapons program. As a
recent inspection at the home of an Iraqi nuclear scientist demonstrated,
and other sources confirm, material and documents are still being moved
around in farcical shell games. The regime has blocked free and unrestricted
use of aerial reconnaissance.
The
list of people involved with weapons of mass destruction programs, which
the United Nations required Iraq to provide, ends with those who worked
in 1991 even though the United Nations had previously established that
the programs continued after that date. Interviews with scientists and
weapons officials identified by inspectors have taken place only in the
watchful presence of the regime's agents. Given the duplicitous record
of the regime, its recent promises to do better can only be seen as an
attempt to stall for time.
Last
week's finding by inspectors of 12 chemical warheads not included in Iraq's
declaration was particularly troubling. In the past, Iraq has filled this
type of warhead with sarin a deadly nerve agent used by Japanese terrorists
in 1995 to kill 12 Tokyo subway passengers and sicken thousands of others.
Richard Butler, the former chief United Nations arms inspector, estimates
that if a larger type of warhead that Iraq has made and used in the past
were filled with VX (an even deadlier nerve agent) and launched at a major
city, it could kill up to one million people. Iraq has also failed to provide
United Nations inspectors with documentation of its claim to have destroyed
its VX stockpiles.
Many
questions remain about Iraq's nuclear, chemical and biological weapons
programs and arsenal and it is Iraq's obligation to provide answers. It
is failing in spectacular fashion. By both its actions and its inactions,
Iraq is proving not that it is a nation bent on disarmament, but that it
is a nation with something to hide. Iraq is still treating inspections
as a game. It should know that time is running out.
Condoleezza
Rice is the National Security Adviser.
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